Future Towing
by Keith Burton
The same forces that resulted in the elimination of the automobile as a
tow vehicle for such things as travel trailers and boats are now at work
and could do the same for pickup trucks and Sport Utility Vehicles.In
this article, I will try to outline what is happening right now that will
determine the future of consumer tow vehicles such as light pickup trucks
and SUVs. Obviously, anytime someone looks into the crystal ball of the
future, the images are likely to be a bit fuzzy, but that does not mean it
can all be ignored.
First, a little background.
During the 1970’s, environmental regulations and the first series of
the Arab Oil Embargoes had a dramatic impact on automobiles made in
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At that time cities were engulfed in clouds of auto-produced
smog, and sharply rising fuel prices and fuel shortages resulted in
a reshuffling of the auto industry. The Environmental Protection
Agency ordered auto manufacturers to greatly reduce emissions from
the engines they were producing, and the first series of
federally-mandated fuel economy standards, called Corporate Average
Fuel Economy standards (CAFÉ), were implemented.
Up until then, American automobiles were large, and heavy
vehicles, most with thirsty V8 engines and it was not uncommon to
see such vehicles routinely pulling a trailers. I remember that my
dad had a huge Lincoln Towncar that easily pulled a 28 foot Air
Stream trailer.
But with the new EPA regulations and corporate fuel economy
requirements, which applied primarily to automobiles, all the auto
manufacturers eventually retooled and downsized cars and cut the
power of their engines. Many going from V8’s to V6’s and four
cylinder models.
To cut weight, the manufacturers went to unibody designs that
eliminated the chassis on frame construction that is more suitable
for attaching a trailer hitch and towing. The result was the
elimination of cars as tow vehicles. They also became smaller, which
didn’t really suit the American family and lifestyle.
UNEXPECTED CONSEQUENCE
Pickup trucks, and SUV’s of that day, were largely exempted from
the tightening regulations. Congress determined that farmers and
contractors, which were the primary customers of those types of
vehicles, would be hurt, because they needed trucks and SUVs for
business, which meant those vehicles could still be equipped with
thirsty and powerful V8 engines.
But an unexpected consequence of the belt tightening on cars was
that American consumers quickly found that pickup trucks and SUVs
were needed for their big leisure-time toys, to pull their boats and
travel trailers. Plus the bigger vehicles could also carry their
families in greater comfort and safety than the smaller and,
frankly, poorly designed cars they were offered during that day.
As a result, the popularity of light pickup trucks and SUVs
exploded, and auto manufacturers, seeking sales, complied with an
ever-growing number of bigger and more luxurious trucks and SUVs.
As of today, pickup trucks and SUVs are the most popular among
vehicles sold. And largest of these vehicles, have powerful V8
engines that top the horsepower ratings of the most powerful muscle
cars of the late 1960’s and early 1970’s.
Obviously, the expected savings in fuel have tanked and actually
the U.S. has had to import an ever growing amount of oil to help
feed these big trucks.
But now, Congress and the president are looking for making some
changes as the nation sees that a continuing upward spiral in fuel
needs cannot be supported into the future. Indeed, worldwide demand
for fuel is dramatically increasing as a result of the modernization
of 3rd world countries, most notable that of China, which has become
a 1st world economic power.
New standards that went into effect in April 2006 that are
expected to boost fuel-economy standards for light trucks by an
average of just less than 2 mpg over four years. The expected gas
savings, an estimated 10.7 billion gallons of gas over the next two
years.
But the really big vehicles, such as those weighing more than
8,500 pounds, aren’t covered by fuel-economy standards at all,
although that is expected to end. During the '70s, lawmakers assumed
anything that large would only have industrial users. They could not
envision that an American family might actually cruise around in
huge truck the size of a Ford Excursion or Hummer, which get very
poor gas mileage. But these are not the only trucks that get lousy
gas mileage.
Most V8 pickups I have tested, and that is almost all of them,
routinely get gas mileage in the mid teens for unloaded driving, and
down to 9 to 10 mpg when towing. Yes, diesels do better for fuel
use, but there are problems there too.
NEW EPA MILEAGE TESTING
Starting with the 2008 vehicles, consumers are getting better EPA
figures that represent the “real” world for fuel use. What you will
see as a result on the window stickers of both cars and trucks, is a
general reduction in gas mileage for the entire fleet of vehicles
sold. That’s because the new testing method the EPA is using better
follows real world use. The current testing methods, which have been
used for years, miss the mark.
We had seen this with the figures the EPA reported for hybrid
vehicles that indicated extremely high mileage for such vehicles.
The Toyota Prius, for example, was EPA rated at 60 mpg for city use,
but no real world testing could duplicate that figure. The Prius
does get excellent mileage, but it is in the low to mid 40’s if
driven normally.
As Congress turns up the pressure to get trucks and SUVs to get
better mileage and reduce emissions, more in line with automobiles,
vehicle manufacturers are going to be faced with technological
hurdles that will be hard to achieve.
Pickup trucks and SUVs need to be heavily constructed to do the
work they do. They need powerful engines with plenty of torque to
pull loads. What has been happening is that the government has been
giving credits to the manufacturers that help offset their more
heavy and thirsty vehicles. But those programs are expected to end.
Among the credits the manufacturers are getting include the new
flexible fuel vehicles you are seeing that can run on ethanol, or
E-85 fuel, which is based on corn. The problem there is while E-85
is great for cutting oil imports, it is terrible on gas mileage. My
testing on every vehicle that can run on E-85 is that it cuts
mileage by 25 to 30 percent, when compared to normal gasoline.
This loss of mileage is NEVER mentioned by politicians and even
the vehicle manufacturers. It is almost a ruse to convince the
public that ethanol is a solution to imported oil and officials know
this isn’t the case. (That is a whole other story)
There is also a plan to go to more diesel engines. The U.S. is
currently in the process of switching to low sulfur diesel fuel,
which allows diesel engine manufacturers to build much cleaner,
though more expensive, engines. This new low sulfur fuel has been
used in Europe for quite some time, but an infrastructure to make
enough of it for widespread use in the U.S. is not in place.
Refineries will have to redesigned, at great expense, to make more
of it, especially if the U.S. automakers want to put diesel engines
in more vehicles. And this note, there has not been a new refinery
built in the U.S. in 30 years.
So, diesels, while a possible solution for better mileage for
light trucks and SUVs, has a fuel availability problem that will
take years to resolve.
CUV’s TO THE RESCUE
This leaves a dilemma for Congress and automakers regarding the
future of trucks and SUVs. They will have to downsize them. And that
is where towing ability begins to be affected.
We are already seeing this happening. The new Crossover Utility
Vehicles that are becoming popular, are not trucks. Many look like
SUVs, but they are more like cars and tow like them too, which
means, most do not make good tow vehicles.
Most CUVs are rated to tow between 1,500 and 3,500 pounds. Only a
few can tow up to 5,000 pounds, which is far below the 8,000 to
10,000 pounds towing ability of the biggest SUV’s and pickup trucks.
What could happen for the future big SUVs and pickups with big
powerful engines, is that consumers will have to pay a form of a gas
guzzler tax, similar to what is on some thirsty, expensive exotic
cars.
But the trend today indicates that big power SUVs and pickup
trucks will not be as available in the not too distant future, maybe
as soon as within six to nine years.
Well, that’s one look into the future, and as I said at the top,
it could be bit fuzzy. I probably will get a lot of letters and that
is fine with me.
There is a lot riding
on the future of tow vehicles. What is certain, it’s changing.
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